Analysis: Hurricanes’ high-volume approach could drown out the Capitals in Game 7
Carolina Hurricanes' Jordan Staal scores the game winning goal against Washington Capitals goalie Braden Holtby on a high-quality chance from the crease. By Neil Greenberg Neil Greenberg Reporter analyzing advanced sports statistics for The Washington Post Email Bio Follow April 23 at 11:56 AM The Washington Capitals are an analytics enigma.
Shot location is one such component that the Capitals focus upon, and it can absolutely affect shooting percentage. Scoring chances, particularly those from the slot or the crease, are more valuable than those from anywhere else on the ice. For example, teams converted high-danger scoring chances at a rate of 18 percent this season, nearly three times higher than all other shot attempts combined .
There’s some evidence that this approach works, as Washington has consistently outperformed expectations by scoring more goals than you’d expect, and has done so 10 of the past 12 seasons, including the last five years, including this one, as Kevin Klein wrote for Japer’s Rink. So there is reason to believe the Capitals have a system that can consistently defy the odds.
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