A significant severe weather outbreak is possible Saturday, but uncertainties remain.
A storm system wraps up over the central United States this weekend and delivers a severe storm risk to the South plus snow to the northern tier. By Ian Livingston Ian Livingston Email Bio Follow March 7 at 2:50 PM Despite repeated blasts of cold air, the spring severe weather season has already kicked into high gear.
Storm outlooks over the next week from the Storm Prediction Center. The culprit for this severe weather risk is a storm system that is expected to rapidly develop and move from the Southern Plains to the Midwest and Great Lakes region on Saturday. While the most significant storm threat is likely to occur on Saturday across the Mid-South, some severe weather is possible in the Southern Plains on Friday and into the Southeast by Sunday.
In addition, there is uncertainty as to how fast the storm will intensify — which can play a role in how many tornadoes form. Pattern matches to the weekend storm from the past show plenty of high-end potential, and also a number of low-end events. This kind of bifurcated look is not too unusual for severe weather events this time of year and across the South overall. With risk of extensive storminess early Saturday limiting instability later in the day, it may take until Saturday itself to know if there is sufficient energy for a major storm outbreak into the afternoon and evening.
By Sunday, the severe weather threat runs in a line from the northern Gulf Coast to the Carolinas. How widespread severe storms are Sunday is difficult to project this many days in advance. But considering the storm will have shot north into Canada by Sunday, damaging winds are more likely than many tornadoes.
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