Deutsche Bank: At any time, there could be an event that would signal an end of the economic expansion.
The economy has been in expansion mode for a decade, helped by the easy money from central banks around the world.
But any one of five events identified by Deutsche Bank's chief economist could bring the expansion to an abrupt end. They include a credit market blow-up, consumer slowdown, politicization of the Fed and a slowdown in Treasury purchases by the Chinese. The U.S. economy is buzzing along, but at any time, there could be an event that would signal an end of the expansion, including a blow up in credit markets, a consumer slowdown, or politicization of the Federal Reserve.
Deutsche Bank chief economist Torsten Slok identified five different ways the decade long cycle could end.First a blow-up in credit markets would be a quick catalyst, after years of easy money from the world's central banks created a global hunt for yield. "Easy money pushed a lot of investors into financial assets and any sudden re-pricing of risks for example in loans, [high-yield], or [investment grade] could have serious negative consequences for the economy," he wrote.The U.S.
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