But he clearly plans to continue to weigh in from behind the scenes
ONCE A STRONGMAN has been in power for 30 years, it is reasonable to assume he will only leave office in a coup or a coffin. But Nursultan Nazarbayev, the 78-year-old who has run Kazakhstan since 1989, is trying to find a third way. On March 19th he took to the airwaves to announce his retirement as president of the oil-rich Central Asian country.
A showman to the last, Mr Nazarbayev signed his resignation decree with a dramatic flourish on live television. It was time, he said, to hand over the reins of power to a younger generation. But the announcement is less a graceful bowing-out than a manoeuvre designed to allow the soon-to-be-ex-president to micromanage the transition to a new leader, just as he has micromanaged every other aspect of Kazakh politics for so many years.
Kasym-Zhomart Tokayev, the 65-year-old chairman of the Senate, will assume power for the rest of Mr Nazarbayev’s term, as the constitution stipulates. He will be sworn in on March 20th. New elections are due to be held at the end of next year, although an early vote is not ruled out. Mr Nazarbayev did not name a preferred long-term successor, although it seems inconceivable that he does not have a candidate in mind.
The new president will certainly not emerge from the ranks of the opposition, since Mr Nazarbayev has hounded it out of existence. His preferred successor will almost certainly saunter into office after a rubberstamp election—although perhaps not with the 98% of the vote that Mr Nazarbayev is supposed to have won last time. Presumably, Mr Nazarbayev does not intend a big political opening, or he would have started one while still in office himself.
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