Republicans, confident about keeping the majority, say anybody-but-Kobach in Kansas, fearing the divisive ex-attorney general could cost them a seat despite close ties to Trump.
By Mike DeBonis Mike DeBonis Congressional reporter covering the House of Representatives Email Bio Follow April 26 at 6:15 PM A sprawling field of Democratic presidential candidates have spent months proffering ambitious policy proposals — from universal health care to an expanded Supreme Court — while debating whether they would eliminate the Senate filibuster to implement them with a simple majority vote.
But Republicans, who would have a bulwark in the Senate if Democrats could pull off the feat of ousting President Trump and holding the House, have been encouraged by strong fundraising and aggressive campaigns from incumbents, as well as unsettled Democratic fields in key states. Kobach lost his race for governor last year to Democrat Laura Kelly, and he has struggled to win votes in suburban areas of his state because of his hard-right views on immigration, voting rights and fiscal policy. Despite close ties to Trump, national GOP operatives see him imperiling the typically safe Republican seat being vacated by Sen. Pat Roberts after four terms.
The question for 2020 Senate races could be whether the presidential electoral map remains fairly close to the 2016 results — where Trump wins or a Democrat prevails with a few states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin deciding the final outcome — or whether a landslide scenario opens up opportunities for Democrats in historically red states like Georgia and Texas.
Democratic hopes for the Senate majority start in Colorado, where Republican Sen. Cory Gardner is seeking a second term in a state that has turned sharply toward Democrats since Trump’s election. Last year, liberal Democrat Jared Polis won a nearly 11-point victory in that state’s marquee governor race, and polls show Trump’s approval ratings mired in the 30s.
In Maine, GOP Sen. Susan Collins is seeking a fifth term, with national Democrats eager to undermine her carefully tended moderate image after she voted for Trump’s Supreme Court nominees and for his tax bill. But she has no serious challenger yet, though national Democrats are expecting either state House Speaker Sara Gideon or former state House speaker Hannah Pingree to step up in the coming months.
Another potentially vulnerable GOP incumbent is North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis, who vexed conservatives this year by first opposing and then supporting Trump’s border- emergency declaration — prompting talk of a primary challenge from the right. That talk seems to have dissipated, but he still faces the challenge of needing to run ahead of Trump in a state likely to be a prime presidential battleground.
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