The sport’s most beloved star was very good at Augusta—but also very lucky
” that he somehow managed to lose. The only other golfers to surpass this threshold are the all-time greats Tom Watson , Raymond Floyd, Arnold Palmer and Phil Mickelson—and one merely good player, Henrik Stenson, who had a great tournament whenIf Mr Woods had come anywhere close to exceeding the field average by 20 strokes, EAGLE would have immediately elevated him to the very top tier of its rankings. In fact, his score was quite pedestrian by the standards of major winners.
It would be hard to argue that Mr Woods’s scorecard at the 2019 Masters was more impressive than Mr Nicklaus’s losing effort at the Duel in the Sun, or Mr Mickelson’s runner-up showing to Mr Stenson in 2016. One way to quantify these differences is to take a player’s score above average, and then adjust it for tournament conditions and rules that cause scores either to spread out widely or to bunch closely together.
His showing at the 2019 Masters, however, is an extreme outlier. In general, players who amass his total of ten adjusted strokes better than the field average go on to win just 8.2% of the time. Mr Woods, of course, had to play well to put himself in contention.
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