Here's what is likely to happen now that the EU has offered Theresa May a lengthy Brexit extension.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May, European Council President Donald Tusk and Luxembourg's Prime Minister Xavier Bettel attend an extraordinary European Union leaders summit to discuss Brexit, in Brussels, Belgium April 10, 2019.The EU has offered Theresa May a Brexit extension which would see Britain remain as a member until October 31
At an emergency summit in Brussels on Wednesday evening, EU leaders rebuffed Theresa May's request for a short extension until June and instead offered a longer one to October 31. The government will also resume talks on a possible compromise deal with the opposition Labour party tomorrow, but neither side appears to hold much hope that they will be fruitful and appear close to collapse.
As as result talks are already underway among Conservative MPs about how they can force the prime minister to resign.Theresa May has already indicated that she will stand down as prime minister to let a new leader take over the second phase of negotiations. Former Tory leader and Eurosceptic Iain Duncan Smith echoed the sentiment shared by backbenchers on Wednesday when he said:"My recommendation to the Prime Minister is, 'Don't go to a second vote of confidence,' because it is almost certain that will be lost and it would be a humiliation for her."
The winner is likely to be a Brexiteer, because the Conservative membership is strongly Eurosceptic, and could well be an unfamiliar name. The new prime minister will face similar problems to May, one of simple arithmetic. If that happens then the pressure on May to seek a third delay to Brexit will be immense. However, while many EU leaders - a majority of whom wanted to extend Article 50 until March 2020 - would be in favour, some would not. The French president Emmanuel Macron was instrumental in forcing the EU to set the extension to October and it could be incredibly difficult to persuade him to back a further extension.
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