Iran ultimately “intended to achieve absolute security, defined as the ability to thwart its adversaries’ ability to overturn its regime or invade Iran militarily,” according to a new report.
Iran has managed to further its regional objectives using a variety of methods despite a maximum pressure campaign by President Donald Trump's administration, which has underestimated and oversimplified the designs of the Islamic Republic, a new report has shown.
As tensions between the two longtime foes approached a new high this week, the report advised "an equally nimble approach combining diplomacy, smart counter-insurgency and counterterrorism policy, and a nuanced understanding of how and why Iran's soft power efforts have been successful" that"presents a favorable alternative to the U.S. when compared with the option of direct military conflict.
These included war-torn Arab allies Iraq and Syria, where Tehran's elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps managed to help summon paramilitary forces to turn the tides against mostly Sunni Muslim uprisings with jihadis like Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State militant group at the vanguard. The U.S. was also extensively involved in the anti-ISIS fight in both countries, but did so in support of the government in Baghdad—whose post-2003 U.S. invasion leadership was friendly to both the U.S.
While the Lebanese Hezbollah, the Iraqi Kataeb Hezbollah, the Palestinian Hamas and the Yemeni Houthis were all designated terrorist organizations by the State Department, the Soufan Center's report noted,"Officials and experts who analyze Iran’s efforts as supporting terrorism alone risk underestimating the degree to which Iran’s overall grand strategy has succeeded, and in fact frustrated counterefforts by such capable powers as the United States and Israel.
The situation further escalated with White House national security adviser John Bolton's announcement of the early deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group and a bomber task force to the Persian Gulf amid alleged reports dismissed by Iran of concerning a plot against U.S. interests in the region. A week later on Sunday, unclaimed attacks damaged up to four commercial oil tankers in the nearby Gulf of Oman.
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