Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif says it is “not very likely” Iranian officials will reach out to Pres. Trump: “Talking is the continuation of the process of pressure... this may work in a real estate market, it does not work in dealing with Iran.”
One year after President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Iran nuclear deal and began reimposing sanctions, Iran is experiencing dramatic economic distress.But instead of bringing about a change in the government's behavior, the pressure campaign has led to Tehran doubling down on its opposition to talks with the Trump administration, and some U.S. officials say they see an increased threat from Iran and its proxies in the region — something Iran denies.
While the deal barred Iran from developing nuclear weapons, it will eventually decrease the so-called break-out time that it would take if Iran were to develop a bomb — something it says it will never do. In April, Pompeo also announced that the administration was designating Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an elite branch of its military, as a foreign terrorist organization — the first time that legal label had been used on another government.
The IMF projected in April that 2019 would be even worse, saying it expected a 6% contraction of Iran's economy. The administration has gotten close. Last month, Iranian crude exports dropped to just 400,000 barrels per day, according to Reuters news agency, compared to 2.5 million barrels per day in April 2018. In April, the State Department estimated that sanctions had cost Iran $10 billion in oil revenue.
In the meantime, Iran is warning it will restart parts of its nuclear program that are blocked under the JCPOA if it doesn't get economic relief. In a televised address on May 8, Rouhani said that China, Russia and the European powers have 60 days to improve economic ties with Iran or it will keep its excess enriched uranium and heavy water instead of shipping them overseas — two requirements of the deal.
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