Worried about a global recession? Here's what to watch
Start the recession watch clock. Last week’s inversion of the yield curve—a potential sign of a looming recession—sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other markets tumbling, and will only increase the scrutiny of each new economic data point globally. But are investors scrutinizing the wrong reports?
The U.S. and China are nearing the finish line of a trade dispute that has hurt the world’s two largest economies. WSJ takes a look at what the trade pact could look like and whether the two sides can overcome their biggest hurdles. Photo composite: Crystal Tai/The Wall Street Journal Jobs data remains strong not only in the U.S. but in other developed economies as well, despite some recent scares. And that should be good news for consumers spending, even if that’s had some recent hiccups, too.
Investment and exports are more volatile, however, and more likely to swing the business cycle, Bhave explains. He’s paying close attention to purchasing managers’ indexes—surveys of the people charged with buying all sorts of goods around the world that has emerged as a strong barometer for economic health—for signs of where the global economy may be headed.
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